The student uses probability models to describe everyday situations involving chance.
The student is expected to:
(A) compare theoretical and empirical probability; and
(B) use experiments to determine the reasonableness of a theoretical model such as binomial, geometric, etc.
Lesson 1 - What is the difference in theoretical probability and empirical probablity? Post on the blog an explanation how your "Forest Fire" experiement is an example of an empirical probablity and how it would compare to theoretical probablity using the same number of responses. A gentle reminder, your name must be in your post in order you to get credit for this lesson.
Lesson 2 - Create a real life example of how change, luck, or fate plays a role in the outcome of a human eveyday event. You can not use this example - If my alarm goes off at 5 A.M., I leave the house by 7 A.M., my commute is thirty minutes, the theoretical probability of my being late to work at 8 o'clock is zero. However, given the same information on a rare occasion the empirical probability may be once in a while. "Stuff Happens!" Post your example under Lesson 2.0 - remember to include your name.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
1 comment:
If i have gotten a flu shot every year since i was born the probablility of me catching the flu will be zero, but if i don't get vaccinated this next year the theoretical probablilty of catching the flu will be more likely around flu season. That doesn't mean that i will get the flu but my chances will be higher and i will be more ceseptable to the virus.
Post a Comment